Rapid private valuation growth and a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing position Anthropic for a potential October Nasdaq listing, driving trader consensus toward an 1.8T+ closing market cap at 67.5% implied probability. The company closed a $65 billion Series H-1 round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation after jumping from $380 billion in February, supported by run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion and accelerating annualized recurring revenue estimates near $70 billion. Recent Claude Opus 5 and Claude Code agent releases, plus demonstrated gains in autonomous coding and recursive self-improvement, reinforce competitive positioning against other frontier large language model developers. Public market premiums seen in secondary trading around $1.05–1.15 trillion and analyst medians near $1.1 trillion further support expectations of strong debut performance, though execution risks around regulatory review and market conditions remain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 17.0%
1.2–1.5T 8.5%
0.9–1.2T 3.3%
$317,828 Vol.
$317,828 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 17.0%
1.2–1.5T 8.5%
0.9–1.2T 3.3%
$317,828 Vol.
$317,828 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rapid private valuation growth and a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing position Anthropic for a potential October Nasdaq listing, driving trader consensus toward an 1.8T+ closing market cap at 67.5% implied probability. The company closed a $65 billion Series H-1 round in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation after jumping from $380 billion in February, supported by run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion and accelerating annualized recurring revenue estimates near $70 billion. Recent Claude Opus 5 and Claude Code agent releases, plus demonstrated gains in autonomous coding and recursive self-improvement, reinforce competitive positioning against other frontier large language model developers. Public market premiums seen in secondary trading around $1.05–1.15 trillion and analyst medians near $1.1 trillion further support expectations of strong debut performance, though execution risks around regulatory review and market conditions remain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions