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icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Outro (temporada cancelada) 76%

Doug Mason 13.4%

Matt Carroll 1.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,273 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada) 76%

Doug Mason 13.4%

Matt Carroll 1.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,273 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada)

$5,151 Vol.

76%

Doug Mason

$19,908 Vol.

13%

Matt Carroll

$2,535 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$30,751 Vol.

1%

Casey Hux

$15,596 Vol.

1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$8,804 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$22,224 Vol.

1%

Rod Strozier

$3,274 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$13,869 Vol.

1%

Shane Parton

$50,224 Vol.

1%

Clayton Johnson

$5,386 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$2,471 Vol.

1%

Mike Turitto

$4,610 Vol.

<1%

Brad Ledford

$3,159 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Richardson

$2,214 Vol.

<1%

Conrad Ukropina

$40,501 Vol.

<1%

Richard Van De Water

$1,975,996 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Perce

$15,268 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Wood

$2,461 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$7,280 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Montero

$3,679 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Kahng

$88,354 Vol.

<1%

Lew Evans

$132,561 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.**The Bachelorette Season 22 market reflects near-certain cancellation.** ABC pulled the season days before its March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex. Disney Entertainment Television confirmed it would not air the season and instead focus on supporting the family, halting all broadcast plans despite completed filming and a finalized cast of 22 men. This development single-handedly drives the 79% market-implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” The individual contestant options, led by reported frontrunner Doug Mason at 13.4%, represent residual trader speculation around leaked spoilers—such as insider claims of an engagement that later ended—but carry minimal weight because the season never aired and no official resolution exists. Low single-digit probabilities on names like Matt Carroll, Michael Baba, and others simply mirror the lack of any on-air outcome or post-cancellation revival announcements. No meaningful updates have emerged since the March cancellation, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the season remaining unaired.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,273
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.**The Bachelorette Season 22 market reflects near-certain cancellation.** ABC pulled the season days before its March 22, 2026 premiere after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex. Disney Entertainment Television confirmed it would not air the season and instead focus on supporting the family, halting all broadcast plans despite completed filming and a finalized cast of 22 men. This development single-handedly drives the 79% market-implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” The individual contestant options, led by reported frontrunner Doug Mason at 13.4%, represent residual trader speculation around leaked spoilers—such as insider claims of an engagement that later ended—but carry minimal weight because the season never aired and no official resolution exists. Low single-digit probabilities on names like Matt Carroll, Michael Baba, and others simply mirror the lack of any on-air outcome or post-cancellation revival announcements. No meaningful updates have emerged since the March cancellation, keeping the market heavily weighted toward the season remaining unaired.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,273
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 76%, followed by "Doug Mason" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Mason" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.