Recent polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, down from their 18.4 percent result in 2023 and translating into roughly 25–30 seats under the personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party trails Die Linke and the CDU while remaining competitive with the AfD in a fragmented field where four parties sit within a narrow band. This positioning leaves seat totals sensitive to final turnout swings, especially among newly eligible 16- and 17-year-olds, and minor vote shifts among undecided voters. Coalition arithmetic further amplifies uncertainty, as the Greens remain potential partners in multiple three-party combinations without clear dominance in any single bloc. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling margins and the mechanical effects of seat allocation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado30-34 40%
25-29 32%
35-39 11%
20-24 10%
$41,414 Vol.
$41,414 Vol.
20 set 2026
<20
9%
20-24
10%
25-29
41%
30-34
40%
35-39
11%
40-44
2%
45+
1%
30-34 40%
25-29 32%
35-39 11%
20-24 10%
$41,414 Vol.
$41,414 Vol.
20 set 2026
<20
$1,304 Vol.
9%
20-24
$6,650 Vol.
10%
25-29
$7,068 Vol.
41%
30-34
$10,060 Vol.
40%
35-39
$13,207 Vol.
11%
40-44
$2,371 Vol.
2%
45+
$753 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, down from their 18.4 percent result in 2023 and translating into roughly 25–30 seats under the personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party trails Die Linke and the CDU while remaining competitive with the AfD in a fragmented field where four parties sit within a narrow band. This positioning leaves seat totals sensitive to final turnout swings, especially among newly eligible 16- and 17-year-olds, and minor vote shifts among undecided voters. Coalition arithmetic further amplifies uncertainty, as the Greens remain potential partners in multiple three-party combinations without clear dominance in any single bloc. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling margins and the mechanical effects of seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$41,414Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, down from their 18.4 percent result in 2023 and translating into roughly 25–30 seats under the personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party trails Die Linke and the CDU while remaining competitive with the AfD in a fragmented field where four parties sit within a narrow band. This positioning leaves seat totals sensitive to final turnout swings, especially among newly eligible 16- and 17-year-olds, and minor vote shifts among undecided voters. Coalition arithmetic further amplifies uncertainty, as the Greens remain potential partners in multiple three-party combinations without clear dominance in any single bloc. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling margins and the mechanical effects of seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$41,414Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, down from their 18.4 percent result in 2023 and translating into roughly 25–30 seats under the personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party trails Die Linke and the CDU while remaining competitive with the AfD in a fragmented field where four parties sit within a narrow band. This positioning leaves seat totals sensitive to final turnout swings, especially among newly eligible 16- and 17-year-olds, and minor vote shifts among undecided voters. Coalition arithmetic further amplifies uncertainty, as the Greens remain potential partners in multiple three-party combinations without clear dominance in any single bloc. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling margins and the mechanical effects of seat allocation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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