Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Cerebras' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, driven by the company's sharp upsizing of its IPO price range to $150–$160 per share just days ago, targeting a $4.8 billion raise at up to nearly $49 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand for AI accelerators, fueled by Cerebras' wafer-scale engine positioning it as a Nvidia rival, underpins expectations of a debut-day trading pop, with secondary market share prices exceeding $190 signaling frothy sentiment. Lower bins reflect caution on execution risks and lofty multiples versus peers, ahead of final pricing and Nasdaq debut expected this week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 60B–US$ 70B 46%
US$70B–US$80B 18%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B 15%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B 11.5%
NOVO
$85,353 Vol.
NOVO
$85,353 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
7%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
15%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
46%
US$70B–US$80B
18%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
12%
US$90B–US$100B
8%
US$ 100B+
4%
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
<1%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B 46%
US$70B–US$80B 18%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B 15%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B 11.5%
NOVO
$85,353 Vol.
NOVO
$85,353 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
$26,931 Vol.
7%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
$12,657 Vol.
15%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
$8,419 Vol.
46%
US$70B–US$80B
$7,317 Vol.
18%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
$3,545 Vol.
12%
US$90B–US$100B
$8,245 Vol.
8%
US$ 100B+
$8,241 Vol.
4%
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
$9,999 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Cerebras' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, driven by the company's sharp upsizing of its IPO price range to $150–$160 per share just days ago, targeting a $4.8 billion raise at up to nearly $49 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand for AI accelerators, fueled by Cerebras' wafer-scale engine positioning it as a Nvidia rival, underpins expectations of a debut-day trading pop, with secondary market share prices exceeding $190 signaling frothy sentiment. Lower bins reflect caution on execution risks and lofty multiples versus peers, ahead of final pricing and Nasdaq debut expected this week.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$85,353Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Cerebras' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, driven by the company's sharp upsizing of its IPO price range to $150–$160 per share just days ago, targeting a $4.8 billion raise at up to nearly $49 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand for AI accelerators, fueled by Cerebras' wafer-scale engine positioning it as a Nvidia rival, underpins expectations of a debut-day trading pop, with secondary market share prices exceeding $190 signaling frothy sentiment. Lower bins reflect caution on execution risks and lofty multiples versus peers, ahead of final pricing and Nasdaq debut expected this week.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$85,353Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Cerebras' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, driven by the company's sharp upsizing of its IPO price range to $150–$160 per share just days ago, targeting a $4.8 billion raise at up to nearly $49 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription. Surging demand for AI accelerators, fueled by Cerebras' wafer-scale engine positioning it as a Nvidia rival, underpins expectations of a debut-day trading pop, with secondary market share prices exceeding $190 signaling frothy sentiment. Lower bins reflect caution on execution risks and lofty multiples versus peers, ahead of final pricing and Nasdaq debut expected this week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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