Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 46.6%
200-219 29.6%
220-239 10.9%
160-179 4.7%
$9,676,679 Vol.
$9,676,679 Vol.
19 mai 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
47%
200-219
30%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.6%
200-219 29.6%
220-239 10.9%
160-179 4.7%
$9,676,679 Vol.
$9,676,679 Vol.
19 mai 2026
140-159
$711,042 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$472,000 Vol.
5%
180-199
$370,651 Vol.
47%
200-219
$359,854 Vol.
30%
220-239
$383,321 Vol.
11%
240-259
$310,276 Vol.
2%
260-279
$295,237 Vol.
1%
280-299
$271,160 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$325,212 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,130 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,224 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,794 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$544,960 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,676,679Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,676,679Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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