Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,563 Vol.
$9,730,563 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
46%
200-219
31%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,563 Vol.
$9,730,563 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
46%
200-219
31%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions