Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 21%
200-219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,290,051 Vol.
$4,290,051 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
200-219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,290,051 Vol.
$4,290,051 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$267,171 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$241,139 Vol.
1%
120-139
$178,212 Vol.
3%
140-159
$157,668 Vol.
11%
160-179
$132,018 Vol.
18%
180-199
$113,493 Vol.
21%
200-219
$156,612 Vol.
19%
220-239
$147,039 Vol.
12%
240-259
$110,949 Vol.
8%
260-279
$126,388 Vol.
5%
280-299
$118,582 Vol.
2%
300-319
$133,013 Vol.
1%
320-339
$114,579 Vol.
1%
340-359
$142,428 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$160,856 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,290,051Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,290,051Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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