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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?

180-199 22%

160-179 20%

200-219 17.4%

140-159 12%

Polymarket

$4,350,013 Vol.

180-199 22%

160-179 20%

200-219 17.4%

140-159 12%

Polymarket

$4,350,013 Vol.

60-79

$260,849 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$279,209 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$243,689 Vol.

1%

120-139

$179,990 Vol.

2%

140-159

$160,391 Vol.

12%

160-179

$132,554 Vol.

20%

180-199

$113,880 Vol.

22%

200-219

$160,928 Vol.

17%

220-239

$154,860 Vol.

10%

240-259

$116,613 Vol.

7%

260-279

$127,972 Vol.

4%

280-299

$118,752 Vol.

2%

300-319

$144,042 Vol.

2%

320-339

$123,654 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$145,991 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$136,455 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$161,140 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$168,844 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$238,020 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$121,203 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$125,876 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$168,834 Vol.

<1%

500+

$269,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,350,013
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,350,013
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 22%, followed by "160-179" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" is "180-199" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.