Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm on X during routine mid-May stretches has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range, now carrying a 72.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show his typical output hovers between 15 and 20 posts per day absent major breaking news or product launches, placing a standard three-day window squarely inside the leading bin. Recent activity through May 16 and early May 17 has followed this baseline without the spikes that accompany high-profile announcements or viral threads, reinforcing the market’s assessment. Any sudden cultural moment or company update over the final day could nudge totals higher, but current consensus treats the period as a low-event window typical of his steady platform presence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 75%
65-89 26%
90-114 1.1%
115-139 <1%
$793,365 Vol.
$793,365 Vol.
18 mai 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
75%
65-89
26%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
65-89 26%
90-114 1.1%
115-139 <1%
$793,365 Vol.
$793,365 Vol.
18 mai 2026
<40
$300,784 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$70,718 Vol.
75%
65-89
$72,290 Vol.
26%
90-114
$96,674 Vol.
1%
115-139
$68,893 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,110 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm on X during routine mid-May stretches has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range, now carrying a 72.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show his typical output hovers between 15 and 20 posts per day absent major breaking news or product launches, placing a standard three-day window squarely inside the leading bin. Recent activity through May 16 and early May 17 has followed this baseline without the spikes that accompany high-profile announcements or viral threads, reinforcing the market’s assessment. Any sudden cultural moment or company update over the final day could nudge totals higher, but current consensus treats the period as a low-event window typical of his steady platform presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$793,365Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm on X during routine mid-May stretches has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range, now carrying a 72.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show his typical output hovers between 15 and 20 posts per day absent major breaking news or product launches, placing a standard three-day window squarely inside the leading bin. Recent activity through May 16 and early May 17 has followed this baseline without the spikes that accompany high-profile announcements or viral threads, reinforcing the market’s assessment. Any sudden cultural moment or company update over the final day could nudge totals higher, but current consensus treats the period as a low-event window typical of his steady platform presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$793,365Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm on X during routine mid-May stretches has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 tweet range, now carrying a 72.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show his typical output hovers between 15 and 20 posts per day absent major breaking news or product launches, placing a standard three-day window squarely inside the leading bin. Recent activity through May 16 and early May 17 has followed this baseline without the spikes that accompany high-profile announcements or viral threads, reinforcing the market’s assessment. Any sudden cultural moment or company update over the final day could nudge totals higher, but current consensus treats the period as a low-event window typical of his steady platform presence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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