Trader sentiment around Elon Musk’s total tweet count for May 2026 remains closely divided, with the leading ranges (840–879, 880–919, and 800–839) each commanding roughly 9–10% implied probability. This tight clustering mirrors the unpredictable rhythm of his posting, which often spikes around company milestones, regulatory headlines, or real-time commentary and then dips during quieter stretches. Mid-month data shows steady daily output consistent with his typical pace, yet the absence of any single dominant catalyst—such as a major product launch or viral exchange—has kept the market fragmented. Traders are watching for late-May announcements from Tesla or SpaceX that could accelerate volume, while recognizing that external news cycles remain the primary swing factor in this high-variance outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado920-959 10.2%
840-879 9.9%
800-839 9.5%
880-919 9.4%
$3,205,681 Vol.
$3,205,681 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
920-959 10.2%
840-879 9.9%
800-839 9.5%
880-919 9.4%
$3,205,681 Vol.
$3,205,681 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around Elon Musk’s total tweet count for May 2026 remains closely divided, with the leading ranges (840–879, 880–919, and 800–839) each commanding roughly 9–10% implied probability. This tight clustering mirrors the unpredictable rhythm of his posting, which often spikes around company milestones, regulatory headlines, or real-time commentary and then dips during quieter stretches. Mid-month data shows steady daily output consistent with his typical pace, yet the absence of any single dominant catalyst—such as a major product launch or viral exchange—has kept the market fragmented. Traders are watching for late-May announcements from Tesla or SpaceX that could accelerate volume, while recognizing that external news cycles remain the primary swing factor in this high-variance outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions