Google’s Gemini series has posted rapid HLE gains through 2026, with Gemini 3.1 Pro and later 3.7/3.8 Flash variants reaching the mid-to-high 40s on text-only and tool-augmented evaluations, occasionally leading early leaderboards before Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 pulled ahead to 55-65%. Trader sentiment reflects Google DeepMind’s scale in training runs, continued focus on multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge domains, and the benchmark’s design to reward exactly these advances without saturation. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 4 releases or major updates before year-end, plus any shifts in evaluation protocols around tools or thinking modes that have already lifted competitors’ scores sharply. The market prices reflect uncertainty over whether Gemini can close the current gap in the remaining months.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMaior pontuação do Google Gemini no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Maior pontuação do Google Gemini no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
$85,177 Vol.
31 dez 2026
50%+
84%
55% ou mais
36%
60%+
17%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$85,177 Vol.
50%+
$29,884 Vol.
84%
55% ou mais
$31,015 Vol.
36%
60%+
$14,703 Vol.
17%
65%+
$5,217 Vol.
12%
70%+
$4,358 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google’s Gemini series has posted rapid HLE gains through 2026, with Gemini 3.1 Pro and later 3.7/3.8 Flash variants reaching the mid-to-high 40s on text-only and tool-augmented evaluations, occasionally leading early leaderboards before Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 pulled ahead to 55-65%. Trader sentiment reflects Google DeepMind’s scale in training runs, continued focus on multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge domains, and the benchmark’s design to reward exactly these advances without saturation. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 4 releases or major updates before year-end, plus any shifts in evaluation protocols around tools or thinking modes that have already lifted competitors’ scores sharply. The market prices reflect uncertainty over whether Gemini can close the current gap in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$85,177Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google’s Gemini series has posted rapid HLE gains through 2026, with Gemini 3.1 Pro and later 3.7/3.8 Flash variants reaching the mid-to-high 40s on text-only and tool-augmented evaluations, occasionally leading early leaderboards before Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 pulled ahead to 55-65%. Trader sentiment reflects Google DeepMind’s scale in training runs, continued focus on multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge domains, and the benchmark’s design to reward exactly these advances without saturation. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 4 releases or major updates before year-end, plus any shifts in evaluation protocols around tools or thinking modes that have already lifted competitors’ scores sharply. The market prices reflect uncertainty over whether Gemini can close the current gap in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$85,177Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s Gemini series has posted rapid HLE gains through 2026, with Gemini 3.1 Pro and later 3.7/3.8 Flash variants reaching the mid-to-high 40s on text-only and tool-augmented evaluations, occasionally leading early leaderboards before Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 pulled ahead to 55-65%. Trader sentiment reflects Google DeepMind’s scale in training runs, continued focus on multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge domains, and the benchmark’s design to reward exactly these advances without saturation. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 4 releases or major updates before year-end, plus any shifts in evaluation protocols around tools or thinking modes that have already lifted competitors’ scores sharply. The market prices reflect uncertainty over whether Gemini can close the current gap in the remaining months.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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