Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 5 de agosto?
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.6%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
5 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
52%
26°C
25%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.6%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
5 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,959 Vol.
1%
23°C
$7,090 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5,942 Vol.
18%
25°C
$5,539 Vol.
52%
26°C
$5,295 Vol.
25%
27°C
$1,791 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$2,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$37,290Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,290Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, as high pressure and light easterly flow moderate after earlier heatwave conditions. Model consensus shows daytime heating limited by increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler advection, keeping maxima below the seasonal extreme of 32°C recorded historically on this date. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 52%, with 26°C and 24°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of peak insolation and local urban heat island effects. Updated model runs and KNMI observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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