Recent forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on August 18, 2026, positioning this as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically features summer highs averaging 29–31°C under persistent high-pressure systems that promote clear skies and limited moisture, with current runs showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Nearby dates align closely at 29–30°C, reflecting seasonal norms rather than anomalous warming. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to maximum temperature guidance, represent the key variable that could shift consensus toward 29°C or 31°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 18 de agosto?
30°C 53%
29°C 33%
31°C 12%
28°C 4%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
33%
30°C
53%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 33%
31°C 12%
28°C 4%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
33%
30°C
53%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on August 18, 2026, positioning this as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically features summer highs averaging 29–31°C under persistent high-pressure systems that promote clear skies and limited moisture, with current runs showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Nearby dates align closely at 29–30°C, reflecting seasonal norms rather than anomalous warming. Short-term model updates over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to maximum temperature guidance, represent the key variable that could shift consensus toward 29°C or 31°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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