Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 78°F at Chicago-area stations on August 13, 2026, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin. Pre-event guidance highlighted cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating lake breeze that suppressed insolation and kept highs several degrees below the 83°F climatological normal, with ensemble models showing only modest spread around the mid-to-upper 70s. These conditions aligned with historical analogs featuring comparable moisture and mid-level heights that rarely produce outliers beyond a narrow range. Realistic challenges would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly flow to push peaks into the low 80s, though post-event data eliminated that possibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 13 de agosto?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$73,375 Vol.
$73,375 Vol.
13 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
27-27,2°C
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86°F ou mais
Não
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$73,375 Vol.
$73,375 Vol.
13 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
$4,253 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$3,860 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$4,835 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$3,330 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$10,630 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$6,317 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$6,493 Vol.
Sim
27-27,2°C
$15,294 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$7,734 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$3,580 Vol.
Não
86°F ou mais
$7,050 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 78°F at Chicago-area stations on August 13, 2026, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin. Pre-event guidance highlighted cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating lake breeze that suppressed insolation and kept highs several degrees below the 83°F climatological normal, with ensemble models showing only modest spread around the mid-to-upper 70s. These conditions aligned with historical analogs featuring comparable moisture and mid-level heights that rarely produce outliers beyond a narrow range. Realistic challenges would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly flow to push peaks into the low 80s, though post-event data eliminated that possibility.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$73,375Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 78°F at Chicago-area stations on August 13, 2026, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin. Pre-event guidance highlighted cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating lake breeze that suppressed insolation and kept highs several degrees below the 83°F climatological normal, with ensemble models showing only modest spread around the mid-to-upper 70s. These conditions aligned with historical analogs featuring comparable moisture and mid-level heights that rarely produce outliers beyond a narrow range. Realistic challenges would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly flow to push peaks into the low 80s, though post-event data eliminated that possibility.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,375Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 78°F at Chicago-area stations on August 13, 2026, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin. Pre-event guidance highlighted cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating lake breeze that suppressed insolation and kept highs several degrees below the 83°F climatological normal, with ensemble models showing only modest spread around the mid-to-upper 70s. These conditions aligned with historical analogs featuring comparable moisture and mid-level heights that rarely produce outliers beyond a narrow range. Realistic challenges would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly flow to push peaks into the low 80s, though post-event data eliminated that possibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions