The dominant market positioning at 27°C for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27 degrees Celsius under stable subtropical conditions. May climatology in the region typically features highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar heating and moderate southwesterly flow, with no major warm-air advection or urban heat-island amplification noted in official data. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification confirmed no revisions to the measurement. Traders assign near-certain implied probability because resolution hinges on these authoritative station readings rather than forecasts; only an unlikely post-analysis correction or instrument recalibration could shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
27°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$299,176 Vol.
$299,176 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$299,176 Vol.
$299,176 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
$4,064 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,783 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,744 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,482 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,031 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,437 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,568 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$91,972 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$37,111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market positioning at 27°C for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27 degrees Celsius under stable subtropical conditions. May climatology in the region typically features highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar heating and moderate southwesterly flow, with no major warm-air advection or urban heat-island amplification noted in official data. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification confirmed no revisions to the measurement. Traders assign near-certain implied probability because resolution hinges on these authoritative station readings rather than forecasts; only an unlikely post-analysis correction or instrument recalibration could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$299,176Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market positioning at 27°C for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27 degrees Celsius under stable subtropical conditions. May climatology in the region typically features highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar heating and moderate southwesterly flow, with no major warm-air advection or urban heat-island amplification noted in official data. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification confirmed no revisions to the measurement. Traders assign near-certain implied probability because resolution hinges on these authoritative station readings rather than forecasts; only an unlikely post-analysis correction or instrument recalibration could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$299,176Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The dominant market positioning at 27°C for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 15 reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27 degrees Celsius under stable subtropical conditions. May climatology in the region typically features highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar heating and moderate southwesterly flow, with no major warm-air advection or urban heat-island amplification noted in official data. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification confirmed no revisions to the measurement. Traders assign near-certain implied probability because resolution hinges on these authoritative station readings rather than forecasts; only an unlikely post-analysis correction or instrument recalibration could shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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