Traders assign overwhelming 97.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or above in Jinan on September 13 because current numerical weather models and observational data show persistent warm, mostly sunny conditions under southwesterly flow. September climatology places average daily maxima near 27°C, with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth before autumn cooling sets in. A sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected frontal passage, or heavier rainfall could limit daytime heating and drop readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability outcomes in the latest guidance from monitoring agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 13 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 98%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
98%
26°C ou mais 98%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming 97.5% implied probability to a high of 26°C or above in Jinan on September 13 because current numerical weather models and observational data show persistent warm, mostly sunny conditions under southwesterly flow. September climatology places average daily maxima near 27°C, with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with the seasonal transition from summer warmth before autumn cooling sets in. A sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected frontal passage, or heavier rainfall could limit daytime heating and drop readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability outcomes in the latest guidance from monitoring agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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