Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and DWD points to a primary driver of cooler-than-average conditions in Munich on August 17, with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and limited solar heating expected to cap daytime highs near 21–22°C—well below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C likely incorporates lingering uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical precedent for August variability in the region. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and precipitation intensity, with official updates from monitoring agencies expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 17 de agosto?
25°C 30.7%
26°C 27.5%
24°C 19%
27°C 11.1%
NOVO
$51,064 Vol.
NOVO
$51,064 Vol.
17 ago 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
31%
26°C
28%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30.7%
26°C 27.5%
24°C 19%
27°C 11.1%
NOVO
$51,064 Vol.
NOVO
$51,064 Vol.
17 ago 2026
20°C or below
$7,388 Vol.
3%
21°C
$5,605 Vol.
4%
22°C
$7,379 Vol.
5%
23°C
$10,348 Vol.
8%
24°C
$7,067 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5,791 Vol.
31%
26°C
$5,604 Vol.
28%
27°C
$3,413 Vol.
11%
28°C
$2,679 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,790 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$4,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and DWD points to a primary driver of cooler-than-average conditions in Munich on August 17, with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and limited solar heating expected to cap daytime highs near 21–22°C—well below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C likely incorporates lingering uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical precedent for August variability in the region. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and precipitation intensity, with official updates from monitoring agencies expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$51,064Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and DWD points to a primary driver of cooler-than-average conditions in Munich on August 17, with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and limited solar heating expected to cap daytime highs near 21–22°C—well below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C likely incorporates lingering uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical precedent for August variability in the region. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and precipitation intensity, with official updates from monitoring agencies expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,064Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and DWD points to a primary driver of cooler-than-average conditions in Munich on August 17, with widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and limited solar heating expected to cap daytime highs near 21–22°C—well below the seasonal norm of 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C likely incorporates lingering uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical precedent for August variability in the region. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and precipitation intensity, with official updates from monitoring agencies expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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