National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a daily high near 66–68°F, reinforced by a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow that caps afternoon heating. This setup aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where the normal maximum is near 73°F yet sea breezes and fog frequently suppress readings by several degrees. Recent observations, including a 70°F high on August 14, show no heat-wave signals or ridge-driven warming to alter the pattern. Model consensus leaves limited room for 70–71°F if the inversion weakens, while cooler outcomes remain possible if fog lingers. Trader positioning at 83.5% implied probability for 68–69°F reflects these stable, observationally supported conditions rather than any anomalous developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
20°C a 21°C 87%
21-22°C 7%
72-73°F 2%
74-75°F <1%
$24,937 Vol.
$24,937 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20°C a 21°C
87%
21-22°C
10%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
20°C a 21°C 87%
21-22°C 7%
72-73°F 2%
74-75°F <1%
$24,937 Vol.
$24,937 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
$756 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$510 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$4,035 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,847 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$4,060 Vol.
<1%
20°C a 21°C
$5,483 Vol.
87%
21-22°C
$3,141 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$1,724 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
78°F ou mais
$623 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a daily high near 66–68°F, reinforced by a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow that caps afternoon heating. This setup aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where the normal maximum is near 73°F yet sea breezes and fog frequently suppress readings by several degrees. Recent observations, including a 70°F high on August 14, show no heat-wave signals or ridge-driven warming to alter the pattern. Model consensus leaves limited room for 70–71°F if the inversion weakens, while cooler outcomes remain possible if fog lingers. Trader positioning at 83.5% implied probability for 68–69°F reflects these stable, observationally supported conditions rather than any anomalous developments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$24,937Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a daily high near 66–68°F, reinforced by a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow that caps afternoon heating. This setup aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where the normal maximum is near 73°F yet sea breezes and fog frequently suppress readings by several degrees. Recent observations, including a 70°F high on August 14, show no heat-wave signals or ridge-driven warming to alter the pattern. Model consensus leaves limited room for 70–71°F if the inversion weakens, while cooler outcomes remain possible if fog lingers. Trader positioning at 83.5% implied probability for 68–69°F reflects these stable, observationally supported conditions rather than any anomalous developments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,937Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a daily high near 66–68°F, reinforced by a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and moderate onshore flow that caps afternoon heating. This setup aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where the normal maximum is near 73°F yet sea breezes and fog frequently suppress readings by several degrees. Recent observations, including a 70°F high on August 14, show no heat-wave signals or ridge-driven warming to alter the pattern. Model consensus leaves limited room for 70–71°F if the inversion weakens, while cooler outcomes remain possible if fog lingers. Trader positioning at 83.5% implied probability for 68–69°F reflects these stable, observationally supported conditions rather than any anomalous developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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