Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 13 de agosto?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 Vol.
$110,789 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,789 Vol.
$110,789 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$2,482 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,234 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,711 Vol.
No
27°C
$17,105 Vol.
No
28°C
$23,215 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,054 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$19,236 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,068 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,866 Vol.
No
33°C
$945 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$871 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$110,789Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,789Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent overcast conditions, light rain, and high humidity that suppress solar heating and limit daytime warming. These atmospheric factors align with observed highs near 28–29°C in recent days and model consensus showing minimal intensification potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific alignment, with 29°C at near-certain implied probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or revised model runs that allow greater insolation, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this narrow range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions