Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and timeanddate models points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes. This alignment with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C underpins the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 51.5% and 31°C at 25%, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C. Recent observational trends and stable steering patterns show little deviation expected, though minor model spread in wind or humidity could shift the official station reading by one degree. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de agosto?
32°C 52%
31°C 31%
33°C 18%
30°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
52%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
31°C 31%
33°C 18%
30°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C
$9 Vol.
52%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C
$5 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and timeanddate models points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes. This alignment with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C underpins the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 51.5% and 31°C at 25%, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C. Recent observational trends and stable steering patterns show little deviation expected, though minor model spread in wind or humidity could shift the official station reading by one degree. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and timeanddate models points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes. This alignment with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C underpins the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 51.5% and 31°C at 25%, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C. Recent observational trends and stable steering patterns show little deviation expected, though minor model spread in wind or humidity could shift the official station reading by one degree. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and timeanddate models points to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes. This alignment with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C underpins the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 51.5% and 31°C at 25%, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C. Recent observational trends and stable steering patterns show little deviation expected, though minor model spread in wind or humidity could shift the official station reading by one degree. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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