Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and regional outlooks points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate westerly winds. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 29–30°C, and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification is expected. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across updated model runs, while minor probability on 31°C accounts for potential afternoon warming if cloud cover remains limited; lower outcomes stay discounted given the absence of stronger cooling influences. Updated forecast guidance over the next 24 hours will refine peak timing and exact values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 19 de setembro?
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
27°C ou menos <1%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
14%
30°C
67%
31°C
22%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
27°C ou menos <1%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
14%
30°C
67%
31°C
22%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and regional outlooks points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate westerly winds. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 29–30°C, and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification is expected. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects the narrow spread across updated model runs, while minor probability on 31°C accounts for potential afternoon warming if cloud cover remains limited; lower outcomes stay discounted given the absence of stronger cooling influences. Updated forecast guidance over the next 24 hours will refine peak timing and exact values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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