Recent passage of an autumnal low-pressure system and associated cool front has driven trader focus on Tel Aviv's overnight minimum for September 19, with model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service pointing to lows of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the northwest. This follows several days of above-average heat and precedes a modest rebound, placing the expected overnight reading near the long-term climatological norm of roughly 23°C for the date. Official resolution hinges on verified minimums from coastal stations, where modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and any residual moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, sustaining the near-even split in market-implied probabilities across the mid-20s range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 19 de setembro?
29°C ou mais 90%
19°C ou menos 85%
24°C 42%
21°C 39%
19°C ou menos
85%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C ou mais
90%
29°C ou mais 90%
19°C ou menos 85%
24°C 42%
21°C 39%
19°C ou menos
85%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C ou mais
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of an autumnal low-pressure system and associated cool front has driven trader focus on Tel Aviv's overnight minimum for September 19, with model consensus from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service pointing to lows of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds from the northwest. This follows several days of above-average heat and precedes a modest rebound, placing the expected overnight reading near the long-term climatological norm of roughly 23°C for the date. Official resolution hinges on verified minimums from coastal stations, where modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and any residual moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, sustaining the near-even split in market-implied probabilities across the mid-20s range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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