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IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Christina Bohannan 94.2%

Taylor Wettach 3.0%

Travis Terrell 1.7%

Polymarket

$20,699 Vol.

Christina Bohannan 94.2%

Taylor Wettach 3.0%

Travis Terrell 1.7%

Polymarket

$20,699 Vol.

Christina Bohannan

$14,857 Vol.

94%

Taylor Wettach

$3,258 Vol.

3%

Travis Terrell

$2,583 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan holds a commanding position in the Iowa 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her name recognition from two prior general election runs against the Republican incumbent, combined with strong fundraising totals exceeding $1 million in recent quarters and institutional support from groups like the DCCC. The field has consolidated after attorney Taylor Wettach shifted focus toward the state auditor race, leaving health care worker Travis Terrell as the main remaining challenger with limited resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages heading into the June 2 primary. A late surge in progressive turnout or unexpected organizational gains by Terrell could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear unlikely given the short timeline and Bohannan’s established voter base across key counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,699
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan holds a commanding position in the Iowa 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her name recognition from two prior general election runs against the Republican incumbent, combined with strong fundraising totals exceeding $1 million in recent quarters and institutional support from groups like the DCCC. The field has consolidated after attorney Taylor Wettach shifted focus toward the state auditor race, leaving health care worker Travis Terrell as the main remaining challenger with limited resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages heading into the June 2 primary. A late surge in progressive turnout or unexpected organizational gains by Terrell could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear unlikely given the short timeline and Bohannan’s established voter base across key counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,699
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christina Bohannan" at 94%, followed by "Taylor Wettach" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $20.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Christina Bohannan" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Taylor Wettach" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IA-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.