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icon for A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?

A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?

icon for A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?

A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?

$348,717 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$348,717 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de agosto

$52,844 Vol.

1%

31 de outubro

$77,203 Vol.

15%

31 de dezembro

$25,347 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,717
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,717
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, followed by "31 de outubro" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?" has generated $348.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de outubro" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A AIEA visita as instalações nucleares de Isfahan, Fordow ou Natanz até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.