The @khamenei_ir account, operated by the office of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his February 2026 assassination, has maintained low and irregular posting volume on X since the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Similar weekly markets earlier in 2026 resolved below five posts amid staff-managed operations focused on archival or memorial content rather than timely statements. With no major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in mid-September prompting elevated output, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued sparse activity through September 22. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, an official announcement from the new leadership, or a coordinated campaign could increase volume, though historical patterns since the assassination indicate these remain low-probability catalysts within the narrow resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 15 de setembro a 22 de setembro de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 15 de setembro a 22 de setembro de 2026?
<5 96.0%
5-9 3.3%
15-19 <1%
20-24 <1%
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
22 set 2026
<5
96%
5-9
3%
10-14
<1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
1%
<5 96.0%
5-9 3.3%
15-19 <1%
20-24 <1%
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
22 set 2026
<5
$2,395 Vol.
96%
5-9
$2,029 Vol.
3%
10-14
$923 Vol.
<1%
15-19
$780 Vol.
1%
20-24
$819 Vol.
1%
25-29
$729 Vol.
1%
30-34
$729 Vol.
1%
35-39
$584 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$533 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$365 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$369 Vol.
1%
55-59
$384 Vol.
<1%
60+
$369 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, operated by the office of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his February 2026 assassination, has maintained low and irregular posting volume on X since the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Similar weekly markets earlier in 2026 resolved below five posts amid staff-managed operations focused on archival or memorial content rather than timely statements. With no major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in mid-September prompting elevated output, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued sparse activity through September 22. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, an official announcement from the new leadership, or a coordinated campaign could increase volume, though historical patterns since the assassination indicate these remain low-probability catalysts within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$11,006Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, operated by the office of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his February 2026 assassination, has maintained low and irregular posting volume on X since the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Similar weekly markets earlier in 2026 resolved below five posts amid staff-managed operations focused on archival or memorial content rather than timely statements. With no major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in mid-September prompting elevated output, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued sparse activity through September 22. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, an official announcement from the new leadership, or a coordinated campaign could increase volume, though historical patterns since the assassination indicate these remain low-probability catalysts within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,006Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, operated by the office of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his February 2026 assassination, has maintained low and irregular posting volume on X since the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Similar weekly markets earlier in 2026 resolved below five posts amid staff-managed operations focused on archival or memorial content rather than timely statements. With no major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in mid-September prompting elevated output, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued sparse activity through September 22. A sudden escalation in regional tensions, an official announcement from the new leadership, or a coordinated campaign could increase volume, though historical patterns since the assassination indicate these remain low-probability catalysts within the narrow resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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