**Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a U.S.-Israel strike earlier in 2026 has left official X accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_fa and related handles) operating primarily on archival quotes, historical statements, and memorial content rather than new material.** These accounts continue limited activity focused on pre-existing statements, Quranic references, and resistance-themed messaging, with recent examples drawing from years-old posts. The resulting low posting volume aligns with the market’s 93% consensus on fewer than five posts during the September 18–25 window. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained new output would require either a major shift in account management or an unforeseen development tied to succession under Mojtaba Khamenei or related Iranian institutions. Late-breaking official announcements or changes in digital strategy remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 18 de setembro a 25 de setembro de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 18 de setembro a 25 de setembro de 2026?
<5 93%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 2.1%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
<5
93%
5-9
3%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
Mais de 60
1%
<5 93%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 2.1%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
<5
$696 Vol.
93%
5-9
$5 Vol.
3%
10-14
$55 Vol.
2%
15-19
$55 Vol.
2%
20-24
$55 Vol.
2%
25-29
$55 Vol.
2%
30-34
$61 Vol.
2%
35-39
$68 Vol.
2%
40-44
$133 Vol.
1%
45-49
$19 Vol.
1%
50-54
$24 Vol.
1%
55-59
$21 Vol.
1%
Mais de 60
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a U.S.-Israel strike earlier in 2026 has left official X accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_fa and related handles) operating primarily on archival quotes, historical statements, and memorial content rather than new material.**
These accounts continue limited activity focused on pre-existing statements, Quranic references, and resistance-themed messaging, with recent examples drawing from years-old posts. The resulting low posting volume aligns with the market’s 93% consensus on fewer than five posts during the September 18–25 window.
Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained new output would require either a major shift in account management or an unforeseen development tied to succession under Mojtaba Khamenei or related Iranian institutions. Late-breaking official announcements or changes in digital strategy remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,260Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a U.S.-Israel strike earlier in 2026 has left official X accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_fa and related handles) operating primarily on archival quotes, historical statements, and memorial content rather than new material.**
These accounts continue limited activity focused on pre-existing statements, Quranic references, and resistance-themed messaging, with recent examples drawing from years-old posts. The resulting low posting volume aligns with the market’s 93% consensus on fewer than five posts during the September 18–25 window.
Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained new output would require either a major shift in account management or an unforeseen development tied to succession under Mojtaba Khamenei or related Iranian institutions. Late-breaking official announcements or changes in digital strategy remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,260Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a U.S.-Israel strike earlier in 2026 has left official X accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_fa and related handles) operating primarily on archival quotes, historical statements, and memorial content rather than new material.** These accounts continue limited activity focused on pre-existing statements, Quranic references, and resistance-themed messaging, with recent examples drawing from years-old posts. The resulting low posting volume aligns with the market’s 93% consensus on fewer than five posts during the September 18–25 window. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained new output would require either a major shift in account management or an unforeseen development tied to succession under Mojtaba Khamenei or related Iranian institutions. Late-breaking official announcements or changes in digital strategy remain the main variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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