Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 1 de setembro?
10°C ou menos 92%
20°C ou mais 59%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
10°C ou menos
92%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
44%
20°C ou mais
59%
10°C ou menos 92%
20°C ou mais 59%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
10°C ou menos
92%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
44%
20°C ou mais
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions, consistent with historical early-September climatology. This consensus, supported by model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for mid-teens values while leaving room for downward revisions if nocturnal radiative cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline pattern. Updated ensemble guidance from official agencies in the final 48 hours before resolution will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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