Close trader consensus around 74–77°F for Austin’s minimum temperature on September 15 reflects lingering spread across short-range forecast models, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal influence that could limit the diurnal range or enhance mixing. Historical September minima in central Texas average near 70°F with standard deviations of several degrees, underscoring how small shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points can alter outcomes. Updated model cycles and evening surface observations from local stations will provide the next high-impact data points before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 15 de setembro?
88°F ou mais 57%
69°F ou menos 54%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 33%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
69°F ou menos
54%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
17%
30-30,6°C
17%
88°F ou mais
57%
88°F ou mais 57%
69°F ou menos 54%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 33%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$20 Vol.
54%
70-71°F
$98 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
17%
30-30,6°C
$10 Vol.
17%
88°F ou mais
$10 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader consensus around 74–77°F for Austin’s minimum temperature on September 15 reflects lingering spread across short-range forecast models, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal influence that could limit the diurnal range or enhance mixing. Historical September minima in central Texas average near 70°F with standard deviations of several degrees, underscoring how small shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points can alter outcomes. Updated model cycles and evening surface observations from local stations will provide the next high-impact data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$158Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader consensus around 74–77°F for Austin’s minimum temperature on September 15 reflects lingering spread across short-range forecast models, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal influence that could limit the diurnal range or enhance mixing. Historical September minima in central Texas average near 70°F with standard deviations of several degrees, underscoring how small shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points can alter outcomes. Updated model cycles and evening surface observations from local stations will provide the next high-impact data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close trader consensus around 74–77°F for Austin’s minimum temperature on September 15 reflects lingering spread across short-range forecast models, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal influence that could limit the diurnal range or enhance mixing. Historical September minima in central Texas average near 70°F with standard deviations of several degrees, underscoring how small shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points can alter outcomes. Updated model cycles and evening surface observations from local stations will provide the next high-impact data points before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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