Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 12 de setembro?
14°C 94%
15°C 50%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
$866 Vol.
$866 Vol.
12 set 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
14°C 94%
15°C 50%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
$866 Vol.
$866 Vol.
12 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$25 Vol.
Não
13°C
$25 Vol.
Não
14°C
$80 Vol.
Não
15°C
$131 Vol.
Sim
16°C
$231 Vol.
Não
17°C
$120 Vol.
Não
18°C
$134 Vol.
Não
19°C
$35 Vol.
Não
20°C
$15 Vol.
Não
21°C
$35 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$35 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$866Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$866Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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