**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 8 de setembro?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
$2,237 Vol.
$2,237 Vol.
8 set 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
$2,237 Vol.
$2,237 Vol.
8 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$58 Vol.
Não
21°C
$85 Vol.
Não
22°C
$85 Vol.
Não
23°C
$175 Vol.
Não
24°C
$245 Vol.
Não
25°C
$208 Vol.
Não
26°C
$843 Vol.
Sim
27°C
$270 Vol.
Não
28°C
$161 Vol.
Não
29°C
$45 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$62 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,237Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,237Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions