**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 point to a minimum near 27°C under the strengthening northeast monsoon, with east winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid isolated showers, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when typical minima hover near 25–26°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced around the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher tails because short-term forecast uncertainty—particularly in cloud cover timing and any residual moisture—can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming HKO updates and evening model consensus runs will likely narrow the range before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 23 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 23 de setembro?
22°C ou menos 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 37%
28°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
22°C ou menos
49%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
37%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
34%
29°C
33%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
22°C ou menos 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 37%
28°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$15 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
33%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 point to a minimum near 27°C under the strengthening northeast monsoon, with east winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid isolated showers, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when typical minima hover near 25–26°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced around the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher tails because short-term forecast uncertainty—particularly in cloud cover timing and any residual moisture—can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming HKO updates and evening model consensus runs will likely narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$35Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 point to a minimum near 27°C under the strengthening northeast monsoon, with east winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid isolated showers, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when typical minima hover near 25–26°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced around the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher tails because short-term forecast uncertainty—particularly in cloud cover timing and any residual moisture—can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming HKO updates and evening model consensus runs will likely narrow the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 23 point to a minimum near 27°C under the strengthening northeast monsoon, with east winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid isolated showers, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when typical minima hover near 25–26°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely balanced around the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher tails because short-term forecast uncertainty—particularly in cloud cover timing and any residual moisture—can shift the actual minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming HKO updates and evening model consensus runs will likely narrow the range before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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