Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely settle between 19–21°C, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Northerly winds and increased cloud cover from scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer historical August norms. Official guidance notes temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal averages due to this synoptic pattern, with dew points near 17–18°C and moderate humidity sustaining the floor. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind strength create the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C resolutions, with new observational updates from regional stations expected to refine the final recorded low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul em 29 de agosto?
19°C 45%
20°C 45%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
20°C 45%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely settle between 19–21°C, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Northerly winds and increased cloud cover from scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer historical August norms. Official guidance notes temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal averages due to this synoptic pattern, with dew points near 17–18°C and moderate humidity sustaining the floor. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and wind strength create the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C resolutions, with new observational updates from regional stations expected to refine the final recorded low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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