Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Red Sea coast, supporting typical overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures of 29–32°C for Jeddah on September 15. High humidity near 60–70% and light winds will limit further drops, consistent with September climatology where daily minima average around 30°C. Model consensus shows low spread, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat retention could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official Saudi Meteorological observations and final model updates overnight will determine resolution among the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for extremes versus mid-30s values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 15 de setembro?
31°C 48%
36°C ou mais 40.6%
30°C 38%
32°C 22%
26°C ou menos
10%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
17%
35°C
17%
36°C ou mais
41%
31°C 48%
36°C ou mais 40.6%
30°C 38%
32°C 22%
26°C ou menos
10%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
17%
35°C
17%
36°C ou mais
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Red Sea coast, supporting typical overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures of 29–32°C for Jeddah on September 15. High humidity near 60–70% and light winds will limit further drops, consistent with September climatology where daily minima average around 30°C. Model consensus shows low spread, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat retention could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Official Saudi Meteorological observations and final model updates overnight will determine resolution among the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for extremes versus mid-30s values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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