Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Jinan on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s. Radiational cooling under high pressure following recent showers supports these values, consistent with observed minima of 19.6°C on August 29. The closely matched market-implied odds near 17–18°C reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local urban heat-island effects versus suburban stations, with lower-probability colder outcomes hinging on stronger boundary-layer decoupling than currently modeled. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 31 de agosto?
15°C 99%
21°C 99%
16°C 98%
20°C 98%
12°C ou menos
90%
13°C
89%
14°C
95%
15°C
99%
16°C
98%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
98%
21°C
99%
22°C ou mais
97%
15°C 99%
21°C 99%
16°C 98%
20°C 98%
12°C ou menos
90%
13°C
89%
14°C
95%
15°C
99%
16°C
98%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
98%
21°C
99%
22°C ou mais
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Jinan on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s. Radiational cooling under high pressure following recent showers supports these values, consistent with observed minima of 19.6°C on August 29. The closely matched market-implied odds near 17–18°C reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local urban heat-island effects versus suburban stations, with lower-probability colder outcomes hinging on stronger boundary-layer decoupling than currently modeled. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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