Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall near 26°C, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C lows driven by high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling along the Arabian Sea coast. Weakening monsoon currents, as noted by the Pakistan Meteorological Department, reduce cloud cover and rainfall potential, which could allow slightly greater radiative cooling and push mins toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustain warmer conditions near 28–29°C if residual moisture lingers. The near-even market split between 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader uncertainty over short-term steering patterns and any late intensification of Bay of Bengal systems, though historical data show extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain uncommon in late August. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.