**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's lowest temperature on September 14 reflects substantial uncertainty driven by the retreating southwest monsoon and variable local convection.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 31–34°C with an overnight or diurnal minimum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations show minimums around 26–27°C amid weakening monsoon activity and 9% above-normal seasonal rainfall, with potential for localized cooling from moderate rain or modest warming if clearer conditions allow greater radiative cooling at night. The near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing and intensity, while narrower probabilities cluster around 25–28°C consistent with climatological September norms and current steering patterns. Updated IMD briefings and overnight model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 14 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 79%
31°C ou mais 79%
26°C 40%
24°C 38%
21°C ou menos
79%
22°C
13%
23°C
37%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C ou mais
79%
21°C ou menos 79%
31°C ou mais 79%
26°C 40%
24°C 38%
21°C ou menos
79%
22°C
13%
23°C
37%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C ou mais
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's lowest temperature on September 14 reflects substantial uncertainty driven by the retreating southwest monsoon and variable local convection.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 31–34°C with an overnight or diurnal minimum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations show minimums around 26–27°C amid weakening monsoon activity and 9% above-normal seasonal rainfall, with potential for localized cooling from moderate rain or modest warming if clearer conditions allow greater radiative cooling at night. The near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes captures model divergence on storm timing and intensity, while narrower probabilities cluster around 25–28°C consistent with climatological September norms and current steering patterns. Updated IMD briefings and overnight model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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