Current forecast models from sources including Russian meteorological centers and international agencies point to overnight lows in Moscow around 9–13°C on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light winds, and limited precipitation. These conditions favor moderate radiational cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure influence, with localized dips possibly reaching 6°C in suburban or rural areas due to clearer skies or fog formation. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines support market-implied probabilities clustering around 7–10°C outcomes, while elevated odds on 3°C or below reflect residual uncertainty in microscale variations and any late forecast adjustments from updated runs. Traders weigh these against typical minimum ranges of 10–14°C observed in recent comparable periods.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 29 de agosto?
3°C or below 92%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
3°C or below
92%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
3°C or below 92%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
3°C or below
92%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Russian meteorological centers and international agencies point to overnight lows in Moscow around 9–13°C on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light winds, and limited precipitation. These conditions favor moderate radiational cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure influence, with localized dips possibly reaching 6°C in suburban or rural areas due to clearer skies or fog formation. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines support market-implied probabilities clustering around 7–10°C outcomes, while elevated odds on 3°C or below reflect residual uncertainty in microscale variations and any late forecast adjustments from updated runs. Traders weigh these against typical minimum ranges of 10–14°C observed in recent comparable periods.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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