Forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow experiencing clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 9, 2026, with overnight radiative cooling under light winds driving minimum temperatures to around 5–7°C in the pre-dawn hours. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 5°C (60%) and nearby outcomes, as current runs place the daily low near the lower end of the seasonal range. Historical averages for the date sit near 9°C, but recent high-pressure dominance and below-normal nighttime readings have shifted expectations cooler without triggering extreme cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on official station observations, where model spread and microscale variations introduce the modest probability mass on 3–4°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 9 de setembro?
3°C 80%
2°C <1%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
0°C ou menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
80%
4°C
-
5°C
60%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C ou mais
<1%
3°C 80%
2°C <1%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
0°C ou menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
80%
4°C
-
5°C
60%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow experiencing clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 9, 2026, with overnight radiative cooling under light winds driving minimum temperatures to around 5–7°C in the pre-dawn hours. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 5°C (60%) and nearby outcomes, as current runs place the daily low near the lower end of the seasonal range. Historical averages for the date sit near 9°C, but recent high-pressure dominance and below-normal nighttime readings have shifted expectations cooler without triggering extreme cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on official station observations, where model spread and microscale variations introduce the modest probability mass on 3–4°C. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions