Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai points to overnight minimum temperatures on June 19 clustering near 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading probabilities. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with the East Asian summer monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light southerly winds further moderate temperature drops. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 23°C and 26°C outcomes plausible but less favored. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 19 de junho?
24°C 33%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
26°C 11%
19 °C ou menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
25%
24°C
33%
25°C
23%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
26°C 11%
19 °C ou menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
25%
24°C
33%
25°C
23%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai points to overnight minimum temperatures on June 19 clustering near 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading probabilities. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with the East Asian summer monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light southerly winds further moderate temperature drops. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 23°C and 26°C outcomes plausible but less favored. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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