Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 14, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s and partly to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate overnight radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, as persistent onshore flow and moderate humidity (around 70–80%) retain heat near the surface. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 24°C reflects tight model consensus around these values, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below hinge on potential for slightly stronger winds or clearer skies enhancing cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 14 de setembro?
23°C 43%
24°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
19°C ou menos
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
36%
25°C
8%
26°C
23%
27°C
23%
28°C
23%
29°C ou mais
3%
23°C 43%
24°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$496 Vol.
43%
24°C
$389 Vol.
36%
25°C
$113 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 14, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s and partly to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate overnight radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, as persistent onshore flow and moderate humidity (around 70–80%) retain heat near the surface. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 24°C reflects tight model consensus around these values, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below hinge on potential for slightly stronger winds or clearer skies enhancing cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$998Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 14, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s and partly to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate overnight radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, as persistent onshore flow and moderate humidity (around 70–80%) retain heat near the surface. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 24°C reflects tight model consensus around these values, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below hinge on potential for slightly stronger winds or clearer skies enhancing cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$998Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 14, with northeast winds of 5–8 m/s and partly to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate overnight radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, as persistent onshore flow and moderate humidity (around 70–80%) retain heat near the surface. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 24°C reflects tight model consensus around these values, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below hinge on potential for slightly stronger winds or clearer skies enhancing cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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