Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, likely settling near 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the Mediterranean climate in early autumn. Light northwest winds, high humidity near 70-80% overnight, and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below seasonal baselines of 23-25°C. Consensus across updated runs shows little deviation from this range, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to push readings to 23°C or lower. Traders have priced 24°C as the leading outcome at 75% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before the day's minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 12 de setembro?
23°C 100%
24°C 99%
19°C ou menos 25.9%
22°C 9%
$957 Vol.
$957 Vol.
12 set 2026
19°C ou menos
26%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 100%
24°C 99%
19°C ou menos 25.9%
22°C 9%
$957 Vol.
$957 Vol.
12 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$53 Vol.
9%
23°C
$25 Vol.
100%
24°C
$82 Vol.
99%
25°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, likely settling near 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the Mediterranean climate in early autumn. Light northwest winds, high humidity near 70-80% overnight, and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below seasonal baselines of 23-25°C. Consensus across updated runs shows little deviation from this range, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to push readings to 23°C or lower. Traders have priced 24°C as the leading outcome at 75% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before the day's minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$957Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, likely settling near 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the Mediterranean climate in early autumn. Light northwest winds, high humidity near 70-80% overnight, and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below seasonal baselines of 23-25°C. Consensus across updated runs shows little deviation from this range, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to push readings to 23°C or lower. Traders have priced 24°C as the leading outcome at 75% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before the day's minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$957Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, likely settling near 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the Mediterranean climate in early autumn. Light northwest winds, high humidity near 70-80% overnight, and minimal cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply below seasonal baselines of 23-25°C. Consensus across updated runs shows little deviation from this range, with no incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns to push readings to 23°C or lower. Traders have priced 24°C as the leading outcome at 75% implied probability, reflecting the tight clustering of official guidance around this threshold and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before the day's minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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