Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 14 de setembro?
9°C ou menos 100%
19°C ou mais 98%
12°C 40%
10°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
9°C ou menos
100%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C ou mais
98%
9°C ou menos 100%
19°C ou mais 98%
12°C 40%
10°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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