Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like MetService point to a minimum temperature of 5°C in Wellington on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and typical early-spring radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows often range 6–9°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting strong consensus on stable atmospheric conditions without significant cold-air advection. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island effects altering official station readings, though model runs show limited divergence through the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 9 de setembro?
5°C 100.0%
2°C ou menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$4,572 Vol.
$4,572 Vol.
9 set 2026
2°C ou menos
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Sim
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C ou mais
Não
5°C 100.0%
2°C ou menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$4,572 Vol.
$4,572 Vol.
9 set 2026
2°C ou menos
$464 Vol.
Não
3°C
$631 Vol.
Não
4°C
$129 Vol.
Não
5°C
$498 Vol.
Sim
6°C
$825 Vol.
Não
7°C
$332 Vol.
Não
8°C
$170 Vol.
Não
9°C
$590 Vol.
Não
10°C
$309 Vol.
Não
11°C
$250 Vol.
Não
12°C ou mais
$375 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like MetService point to a minimum temperature of 5°C in Wellington on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and typical early-spring radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows often range 6–9°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting strong consensus on stable atmospheric conditions without significant cold-air advection. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island effects altering official station readings, though model runs show limited divergence through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,572Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like MetService point to a minimum temperature of 5°C in Wellington on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and typical early-spring radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows often range 6–9°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting strong consensus on stable atmospheric conditions without significant cold-air advection. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island effects altering official station readings, though model runs show limited divergence through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,572Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like MetService point to a minimum temperature of 5°C in Wellington on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly, and typical early-spring radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with seasonal baselines where September lows often range 6–9°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting strong consensus on stable atmospheric conditions without significant cold-air advection. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island effects altering official station readings, though model runs show limited divergence through the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions