Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Wuhan on August 29 driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that may advect slightly cooler air masses amid the post-heatwave transition. Official guidance highlights precipitation probabilities of 40-80% associated with peripheral influences from distant tropical systems, which typically suppress daytime heating while elevating nighttime minima through enhanced longwave radiation trapping yet also enabling localized evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a minimum near 26-27°C, though variations in rainfall timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h create spread that explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 22-24°C thresholds versus higher bins. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 29 de agosto?
22°C or below 97%
32°C or higher 85%
28°C 50%
24°C 47%
22°C or below
97%
23°C
11%
24°C
47%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
85%
22°C or below 97%
32°C or higher 85%
28°C 50%
24°C 47%
22°C or below
97%
23°C
11%
24°C
47%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a shift toward cooler overnight conditions in Wuhan on August 29 driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that may advect slightly cooler air masses amid the post-heatwave transition. Official guidance highlights precipitation probabilities of 40-80% associated with peripheral influences from distant tropical systems, which typically suppress daytime heating while elevating nighttime minima through enhanced longwave radiation trapping yet also enabling localized evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a minimum near 26-27°C, though variations in rainfall timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h create spread that explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 22-24°C thresholds versus higher bins. Updated runs from global ensembles will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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