**Forecast models from agencies including China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of 26–28°C for Wuhan on August 28, 2026.** This keeps 27°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C. Wuhan remains under post-"Sanfu" (dog days) conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 26–28°C as daytime highs reach 35–37°C before gradual moderation begins. Cooling strengthens only after August 29 with increased rain chances tied to typhoon peripheral flows. Model consensus shows limited overnight temperature drops on the 28th, aligning with recent observational trends of persistent warmth (recent lows near 27–29°C). Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily, with probabilities clustering tightly around the 26–28°C range and sharply lower odds for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 28 will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 28 de agosto?
27°C 49%
28°C 35%
26°C 34%
29°C 33%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
34%
27°C
49%
28°C
35%
29°C
33%
30°C
30%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 49%
28°C 35%
26°C 34%
29°C 33%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$47 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
1%
24°C
$96 Vol.
9%
25°C
$250 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$0 Vol.
33%
30°C
$30 Vol.
30%
31°C
$37 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of 26–28°C for Wuhan on August 28, 2026.** This keeps 27°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C.
Wuhan remains under post-"Sanfu" (dog days) conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 26–28°C as daytime highs reach 35–37°C before gradual moderation begins. Cooling strengthens only after August 29 with increased rain chances tied to typhoon peripheral flows.
Model consensus shows limited overnight temperature drops on the 28th, aligning with recent observational trends of persistent warmth (recent lows near 27–29°C). Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily, with probabilities clustering tightly around the 26–28°C range and sharply lower odds for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 28 will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$545Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of 26–28°C for Wuhan on August 28, 2026.** This keeps 27°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C.
Wuhan remains under post-"Sanfu" (dog days) conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 26–28°C as daytime highs reach 35–37°C before gradual moderation begins. Cooling strengthens only after August 29 with increased rain chances tied to typhoon peripheral flows.
Model consensus shows limited overnight temperature drops on the 28th, aligning with recent observational trends of persistent warmth (recent lows near 27–29°C). Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily, with probabilities clustering tightly around the 26–28°C range and sharply lower odds for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 28 will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$545Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of 26–28°C for Wuhan on August 28, 2026.** This keeps 27°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C. Wuhan remains under post-"Sanfu" (dog days) conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 26–28°C as daytime highs reach 35–37°C before gradual moderation begins. Cooling strengthens only after August 29 with increased rain chances tied to typhoon peripheral flows. Model consensus shows limited overnight temperature drops on the 28th, aligning with recent observational trends of persistent warmth (recent lows near 27–29°C). Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily, with probabilities clustering tightly around the 26–28°C range and sharply lower odds for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and local observations on August 28 will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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