Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 15 de setembro?
16°C ou menos 66%
26°C ou mais 66%
25°C 39%
21°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
16°C ou menos
66%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C
9%
20°C
21%
21°C
30%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
39%
26°C ou mais
66%
16°C ou menos 66%
26°C ou mais 66%
25°C 39%
21°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
66%
17°C
$10 Vol.
16%
18°C
$10 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$10 Vol.
39%
26°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$50Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Wuhan near 23–25°C on September 15 amid increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages hover around 21°C, yet persistent humidity near 50–60% and urban heat retention support trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 21°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly clustered probabilities include exact timing of any evening showers, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress temperature drops, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs overnight and early morning observations will likely refine these near-term estimates before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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