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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

Nirav Shah 45%

Troy Jackson 27%

Hannah Pingree 15%

Shenna Bellows 5.8%

Polymarket

$56,247 Vol.

Nirav Shah 45%

Troy Jackson 27%

Hannah Pingree 15%

Shenna Bellows 5.8%

Polymarket

$56,247 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,515 Vol.

45%

Troy Jackson

$8,661 Vol.

27%

Hannah Pingree

$5,948 Vol.

15%

Shenna Bellows

$5,662 Vol.

6%

Angus King III

$4,377 Vol.

5%

Jason Cherry

$19,485 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls from early May, including surveys by Schoen Cooperman and GQR, show Nirav Shah holding a lead among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the June 9 contest, driven by his experience as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 response and subsequent federal role. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Shah, though the race remains competitive under ranked-choice voting, where second preferences among Troy Jackson's legislative record and labor support, Hannah Pingree's policy experience and family ties, and Shenna Bellows' statewide office could redistribute votes. A recent final debate highlighted shared priorities on housing costs, healthcare access, and property taxes without major shifts. The primary's use of ranked-choice balloting and limited undecided voters keep outcomes fluid until election day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$56,247
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls from early May, including surveys by Schoen Cooperman and GQR, show Nirav Shah holding a lead among likely Democratic primary voters ahead of the June 9 contest, driven by his experience as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 response and subsequent federal role. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Shah, though the race remains competitive under ranked-choice voting, where second preferences among Troy Jackson's legislative record and labor support, Hannah Pingree's policy experience and family ties, and Shenna Bellows' statewide office could redistribute votes. A recent final debate highlighted shared priorities on housing costs, healthcare access, and property taxes without major shifts. The primary's use of ranked-choice balloting and limited undecided voters keep outcomes fluid until election day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$56,247
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 46%, followed by "Troy Jackson" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" has generated $56.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is "Nirav Shah" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Jackson" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.