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icon for Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?

Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?

icon for Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?

Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?

$593,647 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$593,647 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho

$142,411 Vol.

12%

31 de dezembro

$135,258 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid a fragile ceasefire in the US-Iran war that erupted in late February 2026 following strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, President Masoud Pezeshkian met with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on May 7—his first since March—emphasizing trust and joint decision-making with IRGC commanders to counter narratives of internal rifts. Reports of Pezeshkian's earlier sidelining by the IRGC, which now dominates military strategy including Strait of Hormuz control, and blocked appointments fueled resignation speculation, but officials dismissed these as fake news. Ongoing US-mediated talks via Pakistan stall over nuclear curbs and sanctions, with economic blockade pressuring Tehran; parliamentary no-confidence motions remain absent, though war escalation or failed diplomacy could test his position before term end in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$593,647
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid a fragile ceasefire in the US-Iran war that erupted in late February 2026 following strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, President Masoud Pezeshkian met with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on May 7—his first since March—emphasizing trust and joint decision-making with IRGC commanders to counter narratives of internal rifts. Reports of Pezeshkian's earlier sidelining by the IRGC, which now dominates military strategy including Strait of Hormuz control, and blocked appointments fueled resignation speculation, but officials dismissed these as fake news. Ongoing US-mediated talks via Pakistan stall over nuclear curbs and sanctions, with economic blockade pressuring Tehran; parliamentary no-confidence motions remain absent, though war escalation or failed diplomacy could test his position before term end in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$593,647
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 25%, followed by "30 de junho" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?" has generated $593.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Masoud Pezeshkian fora por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.