Traders see substantial uncertainty in the next Google Gemini Pro release timeline, with the market-implied probability highest at 20.5% for no launch by June 30 and tightly clustered bets on mid-to-late June dates. This positioning stems from the absence of recent official Google announcements confirming specific rollout windows, as the company competes with rapid iterations from OpenAI and Anthropic on large language model capabilities. Typical AI development cycles involve extended benchmarking, safety reviews, and internal testing that frequently shift dates, creating a broad distribution of trader sentiment. Upcoming earnings calls or developer conferences could provide clarifying signals, though historical patterns show product timelines in this sector remain fluid.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Sem lançamento até 30 de junho 20.5%
23 de junho 18%
30 de junho 15%
22 de junho 9.0%
$96,642 Vol.
$96,642 Vol.
30 jun 2026
9 de junho
<1%
10 de junho
<1%
11 de junho
4%
12 de junho
<1%
13 de junho
<1%
14 de junho
1%
15 de junho
3%
16 de junho
8%
17 de junho
8%
18 de junho
6%
19 de junho
1%
20 de junho
1%
21 de junho
1%
22 de junho
9%
23 de junho
18%
24 de junho
4%
25 de junho
1%
26 de junho
6%
27 de junho
1%
28 de junho
<1%
29 de junho
1%
30 de junho
15%
Sem lançamento até 30 de junho
21%
Sem lançamento até 30 de junho 20.5%
23 de junho 18%
30 de junho 15%
22 de junho 9.0%
$96,642 Vol.
$96,642 Vol.
30 jun 2026
9 de junho
$18,870 Vol.
<1%
10 de junho
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
11 de junho
$1,900 Vol.
4%
12 de junho
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
13 de junho
$2,537 Vol.
<1%
14 de junho
$2,635 Vol.
1%
15 de junho
$1,744 Vol.
3%
16 de junho
$2,937 Vol.
8%
17 de junho
$2,663 Vol.
8%
18 de junho
$2,505 Vol.
6%
19 de junho
$2,266 Vol.
1%
20 de junho
$1,313 Vol.
1%
21 de junho
$1,069 Vol.
1%
22 de junho
$2,780 Vol.
9%
23 de junho
$3,527 Vol.
18%
24 de junho
$2,492 Vol.
4%
25 de junho
$1,243 Vol.
1%
26 de junho
$3,009 Vol.
6%
27 de junho
$1,979 Vol.
1%
28 de junho
$993 Vol.
<1%
29 de junho
$1,487 Vol.
1%
30 de junho
$4,657 Vol.
15%
Sem lançamento até 30 de junho
$12,519 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see substantial uncertainty in the next Google Gemini Pro release timeline, with the market-implied probability highest at 20.5% for no launch by June 30 and tightly clustered bets on mid-to-late June dates. This positioning stems from the absence of recent official Google announcements confirming specific rollout windows, as the company competes with rapid iterations from OpenAI and Anthropic on large language model capabilities. Typical AI development cycles involve extended benchmarking, safety reviews, and internal testing that frequently shift dates, creating a broad distribution of trader sentiment. Upcoming earnings calls or developer conferences could provide clarifying signals, though historical patterns show product timelines in this sector remain fluid.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$96,642Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see substantial uncertainty in the next Google Gemini Pro release timeline, with the market-implied probability highest at 20.5% for no launch by June 30 and tightly clustered bets on mid-to-late June dates. This positioning stems from the absence of recent official Google announcements confirming specific rollout windows, as the company competes with rapid iterations from OpenAI and Anthropic on large language model capabilities. Typical AI development cycles involve extended benchmarking, safety reviews, and internal testing that frequently shift dates, creating a broad distribution of trader sentiment. Upcoming earnings calls or developer conferences could provide clarifying signals, though historical patterns show product timelines in this sector remain fluid.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$96,642Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see substantial uncertainty in the next Google Gemini Pro release timeline, with the market-implied probability highest at 20.5% for no launch by June 30 and tightly clustered bets on mid-to-late June dates. This positioning stems from the absence of recent official Google announcements confirming specific rollout windows, as the company competes with rapid iterations from OpenAI and Anthropic on large language model capabilities. Typical AI development cycles involve extended benchmarking, safety reviews, and internal testing that frequently shift dates, creating a broad distribution of trader sentiment. Upcoming earnings calls or developer conferences could provide clarifying signals, though historical patterns show product timelines in this sector remain fluid.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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