Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDelia Velculescu 28.1%
Șerban Matei 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
Radu Burnete 9%
$595,575 Vol.
$595,575 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Delia Velculescu
28%
Șerban Matei
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
9%
Radu Burnete
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
5%
Anca Dragu
3%
Dragoș Pîslaru
3%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
Alexandru Nazare
2%
Alexandru Rogobete
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
Dan Motreanu
1%
George Simion
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
1%
Calin Georgescu
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
Hunor Kelemen
<1%
Traian Băsescu
<1%
Delia Velculescu 28.1%
Șerban Matei 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
Radu Burnete 9%
$595,575 Vol.
$595,575 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Delia Velculescu
$16,508 Vol.
28%
Șerban Matei
$18,982 Vol.
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
$70,281 Vol.
9%
Radu Burnete
$19,686 Vol.
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
$66,211 Vol.
5%
Anca Dragu
$19,506 Vol.
3%
Dragoș Pîslaru
$12,914 Vol.
3%
Lucian Croitoru
$14,855 Vol.
2%
Alexandru Nazare
$5,054 Vol.
2%
Alexandru Rogobete
$10,751 Vol.
1%
Ilie Bolojan
$60,849 Vol.
1%
Dan Motreanu
$11,592 Vol.
1%
George Simion
$12,153 Vol.
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
$29,436 Vol.
1%
Ciprian Ciucu
$969 Vol.
1%
Calin Georgescu
$9,570 Vol.
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
$11,081 Vol.
<1%
Mircea Geoană
$16,895 Vol.
<1%
Lucian Isar
$12,256 Vol.
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$11,829 Vol.
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
$12,536 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
$12,629 Vol.
<1%
Elena Lasconi
$36,584 Vol.
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
$13,867 Vol.
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
$12,742 Vol.
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
$16,996 Vol.
<1%
Emil Boc
$13,158 Vol.
<1%
Dominic Fritz
$12,397 Vol.
<1%
Raluca Turcan
$9,511 Vol.
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$14,083 Vol.
<1%
Hunor Kelemen
$8,829 Vol.
<1%
Traian Băsescu
$864 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$595,575Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$595,575Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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